Light Another L, Pass the Bottle


These things are effing ill!
- The Game ft. Nas, "Why You Hate the Game"
(By the way: I have a lot to say about the album from whence this came. That's later this week.)
So here we go--tonight, it's on.
Last week the Darkos were interviewed on Chicagoist, and my mel(l)o(w) Shoals called himself a "total NBA narcissist" as he derailed a query regarding what needs to be changed in the Association. There may, of course, be superficial ills that present themselves as outstanding problem areas (synthetic arena noise, for instance, should be deaded relative to how it exists today), but the answer was far from glib: in a general sense, all is well. And never is that more apparent than during the drawn-out immediacy that precedes a new season in the Lig. No one who really cares about the NBA is suffering the pangs of trepidation or the agony of ambivalence as he or she sits at home struggling with the dread of another TV timeout tempering his or her enthusiasm about Tyrus Thomas sonning people in the lane. Ask Matt Bonner if you should be excited about that.
Despite empty facsimiles of our Precious, like the World Championships, and summertime drama, like the Ben Wallace intradivision defection, it's been a long time since the majesty of the NBA was available for copious consumption. But now, that will all change. Not only are Ray Ray and KG back, but so are Kevin Martin's fade and Nate Robinson's socks; Roscoe's widely spaced grin and Brent Barry's set shot; James Posey's frame and Josh Howard's mid-scalp headband. It's all here again. Finally. And it will be wonderful.
So spend less time worrying about cap rules; check out Part One of the preview; and get ready for the realness.
Preseason Wishes

Pick it up, dunny. I've been touting you for months.
20) That Kobe is 1/3 the player despite having three times the number.
19) That a buddies duo finally emerges to succeed Cat and the Franchise.
18) That Rashad Anderson kills it in Greece.
17) That Hilton Armstrong, Rudy Gay, and Marcus Williams do UConn proud.
16) That Lamar Odom makes it through this fire.
15) That Greg Oden loves college.
14) That Cubes keeps it real, despite the rules.
13) That the Lig crowns a real dunk champion.
12) That No Internets Dirk gets interviewed at a lot of halftimes.
11) That Michael Redd makes the all-star team.
10) That Tyrus Thomas blocks a Shaquille O'Neal dunk at least once.
9) That Jackie Butler takes Francisco Elson's spot.
8) That Wayne Simien continues to maintain the best-manicured hairline in the L.
7) That Tracy and Baron and AK and Grant and Larry and Manu can all stay healthy.
6) That Mike Breen indulges his inner actuary and finds another job.
5) That Rasheed Wallace keeps his ass in the paint and Tony Dice wins 6th Man.
4) That people wise up and give MVP to someone who actually deserves it.
3) That Stephen Jackson continues to keep it gully.
2) That Ron Ron out-sells Lloyd Banks
1) That Darko blows up.
The Isiah Thomas "Off-Season Move Most Likely to Become a Pejorative Noun" Award - New Orleans Hornets

The bald guy has yet to find an injury he wouldn't overpay for.
Please Note: Due to various factors (innate stupidity, poor ownership oversight, limitless capacity for post-career failure) that were making this category uncompetitive, Isiah Thomas is no longer eligible for the award and has instead become its namesake. *sigh*
So let's see: Tyson Chandler, who's about ten-years-old, is always twisting his ankles and already suffers from a bad back. Bobby Jackson, who's about 100-years-old, owns a timeshare on the injured list. And Peja Stojakovic, almost thirty-years-old, shows up at training camp complaining about his legs. Were this insurance, none of these three would be getting the lowest possible rates--too many risk factors. And yet Jeff Bower thinks that these men deserve more than $140m in total salary. Astonishing. In the off-season, all of the rhetoric said that the Hornets had gotten serious about winning, yet I don't think this is a playoff team, and the franchise lost the chance to sign better people who will want to play with Chris Paul starting next year. Brilliant.
Ice Cube "Bitch in Yoo" Award - Sebastian Telfair, Boston Celtics

Bassy allegedly hits more rappers than jumpers
Well, let's see: As soon as the Celtics had him, they drafted Rajon Rondo, who basically does the same things and is already a better defender. Earlier this month, he may have shot Fabolous. And in Sports Illustrated, an NBA scout said that he was an undersized PG who couldn't "shoot a lick"; would get ignored by defenses in the halfcourt; couldn't finish; doesn't create for others; and looks to score first. If that isn't public humiliation with a chance at relative worthlessness, I don't know what is.
Most Improved Player - Josh Smith, Atlanta Hawks

Freakin' the 'Nique
Unlike 100%-dunk-offense players of the past, Smith seems to actually be working on a game. On top of that, he is already an insane shot blocker who enjoys playing on both ends and was starting to fill up the stat sheet across the board by the end of last season. Starting alongside a real PG (Craig Claxton) and an emerging stud on the wing (Joe Johnson) for a dog team with no real rebounding and an injured Marvin Williams, Smith will likely have a chance to engage in a proverbial assembly of "it"--he'll put it all together. And he'll be markedly better.
Least Improved Player - Jerome James, New York Knicks

Slow, potentially overweight, allergic to health, and stealing millions of dollars--that's my TendeRome-y.
Stephon is Isiah's boy; Frye is the future; Eddy has been told to get his ass tougher; and J-rome...got hurt on the first day of training camp. He already will not be fitting in. No matter, though, as the guy does nothing but take Cablevision money, eat, and live in a nicer house than any of us, anyway. All of that because he once played well in the playoffs for about three weeks. It was highly unlikely that lazy-ass James was gonna show up with a hook shot for both hands and, as the NFL guys would say, a motor that never stops. Before the injury, that would have been more of the same and we would have all shook our heads in disgust. Now--well, it's just more of the same anyway. I love that this award is always won by a Knick.
Rookie of the Year - Brandon Roy, Portland Trailblazers

(Insert your play-on-his-last-name pun here. For instance: What's in a Name?)
I've been riding with dude since June. You think I'ma play him now? Roy is gonna get burn at up to three positions in Portland and will get major minutes on a team that's starting over. Again. He's already getting hyped as a savior, too, so you know he'll be handling the rock. So long as he doesn't fall in with Darius Miles and start acting like a petulant fool, hurling unprovoked racial epithets at his coach, Roy should be alright. It also seems like a weak year for rookie impact: Shelden Williams has struggled; Adam Morrison isn't hitting shots and can't defend; Tyrus Thomas might not get the minutes behind the veterans on a team that wants a title; and everyone else seems like an unknown at best. I had thought that with his cerebral style, stout defense, and good hands, Hilton Armstrong could make an immediate impression in New Orleans, but he's been up and down.
Sixth Man of the Year - Shareef Abdur-Rahim, Sacramento Kangs

An apropos photo
This is always the hardest award to hand out. You can debate the meaning of "most valuable" and you can assert that great defense can't always be measured in blocks and steals, sure. But the grind of the NBA schedule is taxing, and the significance of the chemistry and depth that teams need can't be understated. There are, of course, many ways to win, though, and as a result, there are usually a number of 6th men who merit strong consideration for an award that is less about who's the best of the not-quite-good-enough and, instead, who means the most to his team's unique rhythm. In the West, behind Kenny Thomas and Brad Miller, and alongside no one else of any real size, Shareef will need to play a major role for the Kangs. Abdur-Rahim is not a big winner, no longer a big scorer, and prone to passages of inactivity. But that's why he makes for a good sixth man--he can come off the bench and maximize his ability in a limited role.
Defensive Player of the Year - Andre Kirilenko, Utah Jazz

Don't body yaself
It's not just the blocks, the steals, and the rebounds. It's the versatility that allows him to guard anyone; the athleticism that allows him to cover the whole court; the size and coordination that lets him alter so many shots. Name one other player who can be an entire defensive game plan unto himself.
Coach of the Year - Brian Hill, Orlando Magic

"The annoying kid with the backne and the arrogance--Redick. Yeah, he's over here."
I can't believe I'm writing this, as I never though much of Hill in the past. That may have been unfair though, as, when in Orlando, he was likely overwhelmed--at least, in my perception--by the oversized personalities and talents he was supervising. It never felt like Hill was in control of the Shaq and Penny All-Stars, did it? Since returning to the Magic, a chastened Hill seems to have been emboldened by his experience and his team's youth, and you have to love the effort--especially on defense--he coaxed out of a seemingly disjointed and overmatched team last year. This year, people are looking for Howard to ascend, Darko to develop, Grant Hill to come back (again), and for the Magic to push for a playoff spot. I think that the Magic can get that done, and if they do, it will owe, in part, to Hill, who deserves some dap.
Coach Most Likely to Ruin a Year - George Karl

Just about to shove his players under a bus
Does this even need to be explained? Karl wears on his players, is quick to snipe at them in the press when he's under duress, and has worn out his welcome everywhere. Stars come to resent him, teams quit on him. Denver appears to be a perfect situation both for and because of him: the Nuggets have had some success but have disappointed against elite teams; they have the talent but don't always seem to play with a sense of purpose or cohesion; and the volatility of the people involved almost assures that there will be ample opportunity for public acrimony. As this group encounters adversity, I can almost assure that there will be moments when a less combative coach would mollify everyone and fix it. But that's not Karl. He'll get into pissing contests and sit on top of an ever growing mountain of spite. And when Denver underwhelms, either missing the playoffs or falling apart in them, who will be surprised?
Most Valuable Player - LeBron James, Cleveland Cavaliers

Like Eddy Curry as a miniature, black hobbit in a Cavs uniform
Let this be the first of many "conversations" about this topic. LeBron is the single player who means the positive most to his team, and he is also arguably the best. Best is amorphous, and some could say that Dwyane or Kobe is more effective, but neither cumulatively means as much. Wade plays with Shaq and the referees (though LeBron surely gets his calls); Kobe can be cancerous in spite of his talent--that's where the notion of "positive most" comes into play. Kobe might mean more--though that's debatable--to his team, but some of that significance is born of his corrosive presence. Bron will have a monster season for a contending team.
Most Valuable Shooting Guard or Swingman - LeBron James, Cleveland Cavaliers

Perhaps a more engaging discussion than MVP
I love this topic--among the numerous exciting, gifted 2s and 3s in the L, how would you rank them?
1) LeBron
2) Dwyane
3) Kobe
4) TMac
5) Arenas
Waiting List: Pierce, Vince, Carmelo, Ron Ron, Ray Ray
Most Valuable Big Man - Tim Duncan, San Antonio Spurs

The sad part is that someone thought this was a great idea and needed a lot of time for it
Just had to get this man some dap. Said to be healthy and hungry, a bad combination for the rest of the Association.
2) Dirk Nowitzki
3) Kevin Garnett
4) Elton Brand
5) Yao Ming
Waiting List: Dwight Howard, Amare, Jermaine O'Neal, Greg Oden
Straight Bangin' Preseason Select List

Game recognize game
Hall of Fame Members: Scottie Pippen
Coach: Jeff Van Gundy
Also receiving votes: Andre Iguodala, Ben Wallace, Larry Hughes, Dwyane Wade, Charlie Villanueva, Rudy Gay, Lamar Odom, Marcus Williams
10) Manu Ginobili
9) Hilton Armstrong
8) Josh Smith
7) Dwight Howard
6) Kevin Garnett
5) Tim Duncan
4) LeBron James
3) Tyrus Thomas
2) Antonio McDyess
1) Tracy McGrady
What's Gonna Happen?
Eastern Conference
This is one of those instances when a team like Miami can likely coast through the regular season before turning it on in the playoffs since few teams are equipped to challenge Dwyane.
Atlantic Division
1) New Jersey Nets - Let us hope that the Nets do, actually, run away with this division as some have portended. If this comes to pass, and the games become meaningless, a benevolent Lord (or Lawrence Frank) might then allow us to witness what would arguably be one of the great fast breaks of all time, in the NBA, Rucker, or otherwise: Kidd and Marcus Williams flying down the court, directing traffic as Vince, RJ, and Hassan Adams filled lanes and threw down.
2) Boston Celtics - I have no idea what will happen with this team--it could be high-lottery horrible, it could be in contention for a low playoff seed. Paul Pierce turned his career around last season, a transformation that was symbolized by his seamless integration into the Pistons during the NBA All-Star game. (That assertion of symbolism might not actually be true or make sense, but I am a Pistons fan and y'all have to deal with it. Indisputable is that Pierce was, um, the Truth last year.) If he is focused and ready to lead, he has some nice pieces around him. Ratliff will play defense; Szczczcsxerbiak will score 18 and spread the floor; and Ryan Gomes looks like he's gonna be a player. The PG situation is murky, despite the preseason Rondo hype, and the defense must improve, but if the young dudes get their shit together, the C's will be fun to watch. At least.
3) Philadelphia 76ers - Ever since the Sixers made the Finals, they've been the least interesting team in the Lig. Every single year, they seem like they'll be mediocre, they have lots of questions, and everyone recycles the same old Allen Iverson stories. I'd like for Andre Iguodala to finally emerge as the nuevo Scottie Pippen his body and skill set might allow for, but I am worried that he just might not have it in him. Oh, and Chris Webber--a tragic example of the player you used to love and now, sadly, just sort of wish would go away--will still be dragging around that knee of his. I am already bored.
4) New York Knicks - Can we not talk about this? I agree with what everyone else has said: the absence of Brown DMC will be the addition by subtraction that the Brickers needed to pick up 10 more wins and still be terrible and without a true future. Hopefully, real optimism will abound next year at this time, when Isiah is gone and...the team is still capped out until I die. Fuck.
5) Toronto Raptors - I don't see how this team will be keeping defenses honest or playing real defense. I mean, if Rasho is the answer at center, you're sort of fucked. And this team theoretically wants to run, not exactly a Nesterovic strength. Del, any help on these dudes?
Central Division
1) Cleveland Cavaliers - A healthy Larry Hughes will make a big difference for this team, as he isn't scared to have the ball in his hands, can bring it up the floor, and will score. His defense is overrated thanks to his steals accumulations, but he's an athlete and something of an asset. His crunch-time decision making is not what you might call "good," but that's when Superman can bail him out. I'm not sold on their bench, but that's more a worry for the playoffs. That said...
2) Detroit Pistons - ...picking Cleveland to win this division primarily reflects: 1) my esteem for LeBron; 2) my sense that the Pistons will stumble a few more times this season than they did in '05/'06. They may ultimately be as good or better than last year, as they're deeper and have a center who can score some to mitigate the lost defense, but it will take them some time to sort everything out. I also worry about Rasheed acting right--he needs to have a huge year if the Pistons are going to remain elite. Oh, and one more thing: sign Jalen. Please.
3) Chicago Bulls - Ben Gordon has to show me that he can start for 82 games; Kirk Hinrich needs to improve his shooting percentage; and the team has to score better, but it certainly has the components needed to be good. I just don't think it will be as good as some expect, primarily because there may not be a scorer who can take over the game in crunch time--Gordon might be too small and inconsistent.
4) Indiana Pacers - When Ron Artest left this team--first through suspension, then by exile, and finally by trade--it lost defense, versatile scoring, and a certain edge that made it far more imposing. It suddenly seems to be stuck in neutral, lacking the outside shooting and toughness needed to be a true threat. I think it'll be more of the same this year.
5) Milwaukee Bucks - Can they play defense? I think that if Villanueva is a success, they will be nearly impossible to guard. And Michael Redd's release--especially when he pivots off of a screen and into a jumper at the top of the key--remains thrilling.
Southeast Division
1) Miami Heat - As the NBA continues to overhaul its rules, I'd like to suggest one more: Opposing fans can shoot tazer darts at Alonzo Mourning whenever his annoying-ass flex-and-scream, post-emphatic-play gesticulation routine gets going each night. That would be really, really rewarding.
2) Washington Wizards - Es la pata del diablo. Can't wait to see another year of Gilly. Also surprisingly bullish on Antawn Jamison, whom I've always liked in a sympathetic kind of way: his facial expressions and perpetual also-ran status always make him seem overmatched, thus routinely casting his consistent 20 and 8 production as something of a serendipitous realization when it sinks in. He's one of those guys who will never win anything but retire with impressive numbers.
3) Orlando Magic - This is a solid lineup--Howard will bang and improve; Darko will play defense (we hope); Hedo will give them everyman play on the wing; Hill will be the moderator of the panel; and Nelson will get his job done well enough. Through hustle and some luck, they'll hang around the playoff picture. Don't love Nelson, Bogans, Dooling, and Redick as a backcourt, but this is Dwight's team.
4) Atlanta Hawks - By acquiring Craig Claxton and letting go of Al Harrington, the Hawks ruined the ultimate NBA fantasy: an all-swingman lineup of Joe Johnson, Josh Childress (who still has the ugliest jumper in the league), Marvin Williams, Josh Smith, and Harrington. Instead it will be more of the same bottom dwelling, although Joe Johnson had a great summer on Team USA and perhaps is ready to take his game up a notch? Also something to consider: Will Shelden Williams scare all of the women out of the Gold Club?
5) Charlotte Bobcats - Emeka Okafor has a bad back and is the only person I've ever heard of who missed ~50 games with a twisted ankle. What the fuck is that? I wonder if he'll ever really be healthy. I also wonder if Adam Morrison will be fun to watch--his game says yes, but his 35% shooting in the preseason says otherwise. The most intriguing story on this team might be the evolution of Gerald Wallace. Will it continue? How high is his ceiling?
Playoff teams: 1) Miami Heat; 2) New Jersey Nets; 3) Cleveland Cavalier; 4) Detroit Pistons; 5) Chicago Bulls; 6) Washington Wizards; 7) Indiana Pacers; 8) Milwaukee Bucks
Conference semis: Miami over Detroit in six; Cleveland over New Jersey in seven
Conference finals: Miami over Cleveland in six
Western Conference
Am I the only one who thinks that Phoenix might still be a little soft if Amare isn't the guy we all once idolized?
Northwest Division
1) Utah Jazz - I think most of this comes down to Deron Williams--can he run this team, hit some open shots on the perimeter? The front line will be nasty if it's healthy.
2) Denver Nuggets - See what I wrote about George Karl above and Kenyon Martin yesterday. Those, and Carmelo's emergence, are the key stories here. This team shot about 40% from 3 in the preseason, which was surprising because when you look at the roster, you wonder where the shooting comes from. If that gives them some spacing, that's huge, because the Camby is frail, Nene is unskilled, and no one else can really score inside.
3) Minnesota Timberwolves - Last year, Kevin Garnett was a mess, and dun has far too much pride to let that happen again. I think he's gonna have a strong year. But I just don't get the roster around him--Ricky Davis puts up good numbers on bad teams; Trenton Hassell is not much of a threat, although he'll defend; and Mark Blount is intermittently exciting and a disaster. Mike James could be alright, and everyone loves Foy, although I think the hype is a little excessive just yet.
4) Seattle Supersonics - This was the best college team in America two years ago, and it was hugely successful because it was hitting jumpers and getting lucky. It was also getting great rebounding from Reggie Evans and Danny Fortson. But that was and still is completely unsustainable. Instead, Ray Ray and Rashard Lewis will languish. Where is the size on this team? And where is the defense?
5) Portland Trailblazers - I always liked Jarrett Jack at Georgia Tech because he could finish in traffic like Stephon at his best. I also love Brandon Roy. That's all I want to saw about this team, really. Martell Webster intrigues me because he's supposed to be a good guy and I can only imagine the Darius Miles stories he could tell.
Southwest Division
1) San Antonio Spurs -If it's possible to be a championship contender and somehow be underrated, the Spurs are it. Duncan and Manu are healthy; Parker took a step up last year; and the center position has been improved. Need I also remind you: Duncan is the best player of his era and Manu is just about unstoppable when he's in rhythm. The bench is getting a little older, but I'd imagine it has another title run in it. To me, thanks to Duncan, primarily, this team is the title favorite.
2) Dallas Mavericks - I never bought what this team was selling last year, and I was proved wrong the whole time. Dirk wasn't as soft as I had thought he was, Terry and Stack stepped up, and Devin Harris played well. I really like Diop, partially because I am a sucker for blocked shots and partially because he will forever be the charmingly idiotic kid from that Oak Hill documentary that ESPN used to run. I also love Josh Howard, partially because it doesn't seem like his body should accommodate some of the stuff he does. He's like the Western Conference Paul Pierce. They will be good again, but will they be able to recapture the magic?
3) Houston Rockets - Thanks to Jeff, TMac, and Isiah Thomas, this is the team that I will root for most ardently this year. Not when they come to New York, but at all other times. Will they be good? If Yao and McGrady are healthy that would help. But that's no panacea. They have to also play with each other, not just alongside each other. There is too little rhythm in the Houston offense. Bonzi and Sugar Shane should help. I will miss Sura.
4) New Orleans Hornets - In theory, Chris Paul pushing the tempo to get Chandler dunks and Peja pull-up threes, or getting into the lane so that he can score or get David West some looks is gonna be great. In reality, I wonder about whether these dudes will stay healthy and whether all of the parts will fit.
5) Memphis Grizzlies - No Pau = big problem.
Pacific Division
1) Phoenix Suns - They will again be wonderful to watch, and I will again spend a lot of time appreciating Steve Nash while simultaneously resenting that he is overrated. But that's secondary: Matrix will continue to basically play a position no one else can replicate and Amare will hopefully be Amare by February. If not, that will be an enduring sadness that will taint the season.
2) Los Angeles Clippers - May Shaun Livingston finally become the Shaun Livingston everyone wants him to be. And also, this will be a playoff team, but there will be some nights when Tim Thomas, Corey Maggette, and Sam Cassell are making Dunleavy crazy because the Clippers will be losing by doing stupid things. And that will be the Tim Thomas we've all come to love and appreciate as the court jester that he is.
3) Sacramento Kings - Ron Artest is a dark horse MVP candidate if this team gels. And let's hope that the need for shooting gets Quincy Douby some PT.
4) Los Angeles Lakers - It's a testament to Kobe and Phee-il that this team may make the playoffs again despite starting Smush Parker, Kwame Brown, and Chris Mihm. That's not really whom you want to take into battle, is it?
5) Golden State Warriors - This is a team that would be fun to follow as it surprised people. Baron has fallen off the radar thanks to injury, but he is still a compelling figure, one whose brazen style is hopelessly cool. Pietrus is an athlete on the wing who seems like he should be a great defender and slasher. Diogu is a tank down low. Murphy is gritty and versatile. And Richardson has quietly become a dangerous shooting guard. If only Captain Non Gully, Lil' Dunny, weren't taking up space and cap room.
Playoff teams: 1) San Antonio Spurs; 2) Phoenix Suns; 3) Utah Jazz; 4) Dallas Mavericks; 5) Los Angeles Clippers; 6) Houston Rockets; 7) Sacramento Kings; 8) Denver Nuggets
Conference semis: San Antonio over Houston in five; Phoenix over Dallas in seven
Conference finals: San Antonio over Phoenix in seven
NBA Finals: San Antonio over Miami in six.

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